TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, whereas spot price expectations depend on technical analysis, news flow, and exchange-level order book dynamics. This market aggregates trader conviction into a single probability, which often diverges from what traditional analysts or on-chain metrics suggest. If major news breaks or volatility spikes, the odds here may shift faster or slower than the underlying asset's price, since prediction markets price in forward-looking consensus rather than real-time spot moves.
On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the market price is determined by supply and demand across the order book. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the collective assessment of whether Dogecoin will close up or down at the specified time. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the price adjusts continuously, allowing you to enter or exit your position at any time before the market resolves.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by comparing Dogecoin's price at the 10AM ET snapshot against its opening level for that day. Once the resolution window closes and the price movement is established, the market will settle and traders will receive payouts based on which outcome occurred.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting crypto broadly, macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin volatility (since DOGE often correlates with BTC), and social media momentum from high-profile figures. Exchange listings, network upgrades, or shifts in retail sentiment can also drive sharp repricing. Additionally, broader market risk-off events or sudden liquidity changes on major trading venues may influence intraday momentum leading up to the 10AM ET snapshot, causing traders to adjust their positions in this market accordingly.