TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on this market represent aggregated trader expectations about Dogecoin's directional move, often diverging from spot price alone because they factor in volatility, sentiment, and upcoming catalysts. While spot price reflects the current exchange rate, the odds here embed forward-looking probability estimates. Comparing the implied odds to your own view of near-term DOGE momentum can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to recent price action and analyst commentary.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares, with the price of each share reflecting its implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into the up or down outcome, the higher its price climbs. This continuous auction mechanism ensures the market price converges toward consensus as new information emerges, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at any time before the June 17 resolution window closes.
This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning side is determined by whether Dogecoin's price at that moment is higher or lower than its price at market open, based on major exchange data. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout once resolution is finalized and verified.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, social media momentum around DOGE, Bitcoin price swings (which often lead altcoin moves), and broader crypto market sentiment. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may also trigger algorithmic trading. Unexpected news from exchanges, wallet activity spikes, or statements from influential figures can rapidly shift trader positioning, causing sharp probability swings in either direction before the June 17 deadline.