TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Volume:
$5,422

$0.01 or above

 - Kalshi

$0.01 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 17, 2026

Closed: Jun 19, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$0.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$935
N/A
N/A
$935
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.005 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$34
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.08 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.09 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,889
N/A
N/A
$527
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.12 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
$224
Settled
No
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$195
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.085 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.015 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.02 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.025 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.03 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.035 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.04 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.045 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.05 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.055 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.06 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.065 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.07 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.075 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.095 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.1 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.105 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.11 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.115 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price increases or remains flat during a specific 4-hour window on June 17, 2026 (12:00 AM–4:00 AM ET). Polymarket resolves based on price comparison at start vs. end of the window using Chainlink's DOGE/USD feed, while Kalshi uses a 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index measured at 5 PM EDT on June 19, 2026—a fundamentally different measurement approach and timing.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure different time windows, use different data sources (Chainlink vs. CF Benchmarks), and employ different resolution methodologies (price comparison vs. absolute threshold levels). The markets are not directly comparable.Hero tip: These are two distinct bets. Polymarket is a 4-hour directional move on June 17 using Chainlink. Kalshi is a price-level confirmation on June 19 using CF Benchmarks. Do not assume arbitrage or hedge relationships between them without explicit cross-platform verification of the underlying price feeds.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Measures DOGE/USD price movement within the June 17, 12:00 AM–4:00 AM ET window using Chainlink data stream. Resolves 'Up' if end price >= start price; otherwise 'Down'. This is a binary directional comparison over a 4-hour event window.
  • Kalshi: Measures a 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) at 5 PM EDT on June 19, 2026 (two days after the Polymarket event window). Resolves 'Yes' if that average exceeds any of 40 threshold levels (0.0049999 through 0.1999999). This is an absolute price-level check, not a directional comparison.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Dogecoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream DOGE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) calculated in the final minute before 5 PM EDT on June 19, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with resolution to Yes if the average exceeds the threshold value specified for that outcome (e.g., above 0.0049999 for the $0.005 outcome, above 0.0699999 for the $0.07 outcome). CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source, which may differ from other cryptocurrency price data sources. Only one outcome will resolve to Yes based on the final calculated average.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect trader expectations about directional movement, not absolute price levels. When this market shows higher odds for an up outcome, it signals net bullish positioning among participants, though spot prices may trade sideways or down if broader market conditions diverge from event-specific sentiment. Odds incorporate uncertainty, volatility expectations, and time decay—factors that spot prices alone don't capture. Comparing the two reveals whether prediction traders are pricing in catalysts or reversals that spot markets haven't yet reflected.

Major catalysts include Bitcoin price action, since DOGE often correlates with BTC momentum, as well as social media trends and celebrity endorsements that historically drive retail interest. Regulatory announcements, exchange listings, or macroeconomic shifts affecting risk appetite can also swing odds sharply. Technical levels and options expiry on other crypto assets may trigger volatility spikes. Closer to the resolution window, intraday momentum and order-book positioning become dominant, as traders front-run expected breakouts or reversals.