TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds often diverge from spot price alone because they embed trader expectations about volatility, news flow, and macro sentiment over the resolution window. While spot price reflects the current DOGE exchange rate, this market's odds incorporate forward-looking views on directional movement by June 15. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts that spot price alone may not capture.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism where buying one outcome increases its price while selling decreases it. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability for each outcome is displayed as a percentage, and traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes. Liquidity and spreads vary with trading volume, so checking the order book helps identify the true cost of entry at your desired size.
This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by whether Dogecoin's price has moved up or down relative to the specified threshold. The result is verified against credible public sources such as major cryptocurrency exchanges or price-feed aggregators. Once the event is confirmed and the outcome is official, all winning positions are paid out in full and the market closes to new trading.
Major catalysts for DOGE price movement include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrencies, macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, social media sentiment shifts, and updates from Dogecoin developers. Exchange listings or delistings, large whale transactions, and shifts in retail investor interest can also drive sharp moves. Monitoring on-chain metrics, futures funding rates, and correlation with broader crypto markets helps traders anticipate directional pressure before the June 15 close.