TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
kalshi
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Volume:
$3,816

$1,650 to 1,689.99

 - Kalshi

$1,650 to 1,689.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$1,650 to 1,689.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,109
N/A
N/A
$675
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$889.99 or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$942
N/A
N/A
$942
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,690 to 1,729.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$674
N/A
N/A
$532
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,610 to 1,649.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,730 to 1,769.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,570 to 1,609.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
No
kalshi

$890 to 929.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$930 to 969.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$970 to 1,009.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,010 to 1,049.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,050 to 1,089.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,090 to 1,129.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,130 to 1,169.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,170 to 1,209.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,210 to 1,249.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,250 to 1,289.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,290 to 1,329.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,330 to 1,369.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,370 to 1,409.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,410 to 1,449.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,450 to 1,489.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,490 to 1,529.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,530 to 1,569.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,770 to 1,809.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group contains two fundamentally different markets both labeled as Dogecoin price movements on June 13, 2026. Polymarket's market tracks whether Dogecoin price (via Chainlink DOGE/USD) closes higher or equal to its opening price during the 4:00PM-8:00PM ET window. Kalshi's market uses 40 discrete price bands based on the Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) at 5:00PM EDT, which is an entirely different asset and measurement methodology.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi reference entirely different underlying assets (Dogecoin vs. Ethereum) and employ incompatible resolution methodologies (binary directional comparison vs. discrete price band outcomes). The markets are fundamentally unrelated despite sharing identical event group naming.Hero tip: Do not treat these markets as related or hedgeable against each other. Polymarket resolves on Dogecoin DOGE/USD via Chainlink oracle comparing opening to closing price over a 4-hour window. Kalshi resolves on Ethereum ERTI index levels at a single moment (5:00PM EDT). Confirm which asset and platform you intend to trade before placing orders.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down market tracking Dogecoin price movement from 4:00PM to 8:00PM ET on June 13, 2026. Resolves Up if closing price (8:00PM) >= opening price (4:00PM) per Chainlink DOGE/USD data stream. Resolves Down otherwise. Single data source: Chainlink oracle.
  • Kalshi: 40-outcome market based on Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) price bands. Resolves to Yes if the 60-second average of ERTI before 5:00PM EDT on June 13, 2026 falls within one of 40 specified ranges (890-929.99, 930-969.99, 1010-1049.99, etc., up to 2409.99+). Single data source: CF Benchmarks ERTI.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Dogecoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream DOGE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) collected before 5 PM EDT on June 13, 2026. The official price is calculated by averaging all 60 RTI prices captured in the final minute before expiration. The price ranges are mutually exclusive and exhaustive, covering all possible price levels from below $890 to above $2,410. Each range outcome specifies both a lower and upper bound (e.g., $890-$929.99, $930-$969.99), and exactly one outcome will resolve Yes depending on which range contains the averaged price. CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source for this determination.

Frequently asked questions

The Dogecoin price movement market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi, capturing real-time consensus on whether DOGE will move up or down during a specific four-hour window. This market reflects collective sentiment from thousands of participants pricing in technical levels, on-chain activity, and broader crypto momentum. The dashboard displays current odds from both platforms, allowing you to compare how each community is positioning ahead of the event window. Volume and participation metrics show market depth and conviction across venues.

Prediction market odds represent aggregated trader beliefs about directional movement, distinct from spot price itself. When odds lean heavily toward one outcome, traders are collectively pricing in higher conviction for that direction. Comparing this market's odds to current DOGE spot price and recent volatility can reveal whether the market is pricing in a move that spot traders haven't yet reflected. High odds don't guarantee price action; they signal where informed traders see risk-reward asymmetry most attractive.

Polymarket and Kalshi operate under different market-making models, user bases, and liquidity profiles. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi's regulated framework and Polymarket's decentralized structure can lead to varying fee structures, settlement timelines, and participant risk appetites. Arbitrage opportunities sometimes emerge when one platform prices the outcome higher than the other, though transaction costs and withdrawal friction often prevent full convergence. Monitoring both venues reveals where smart money is concentrating conviction.

Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting crypto broadly, Bitcoin volatility spikes that drag altcoins along, Elon Musk social media activity, and macroeconomic data releases during the window. On-chain metrics like whale accumulation or exchange inflows can shift trader positioning hours before the event. Technical levels and support/resistance zones matter; a break above or below key price points often triggers cascading position adjustments. News about Dogecoin adoption or competing meme coins can also influence directional conviction in the final hours.