TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET
kalshi
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET

Volume:
$1,966

$0.01 or above

 - Kalshi

$0.01 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$0.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$533
N/A
N/A
$533
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.025 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.085 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.08 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$527
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.19 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$298
N/A
N/A
$298
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.09 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$157
N/A
N/A
$131
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.095 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.005 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.015 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.02 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.03 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.035 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.04 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.045 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.05 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.055 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.06 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.065 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.07 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.075 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.1 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.105 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.11 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.115 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down during a specific 1-hour trading window on June 12, 2026 at 5 PM ET. The two platforms use fundamentally different measurement methodologies: Kalshi references a 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) at a specific price threshold, while Polymarket compares the open and close prices of the DOGE/USDT 1-hour candle on Binance.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use different data sources (CF Benchmarks RTI vs. Binance DOGE/USDT), different measurement windows (60-second average before 5 PM EDT vs. 1-hour candle starting at 5 PM ET), and different resolution logic (absolute price threshold vs. relative open/close comparison). These methodological differences create material risk of divergent outcomes.Hero tip: Do not assume these markets are fungible. Kalshi resolves YES if CF Benchmarks' 60-second RTI average exceeds 0.0049999 before 5 PM EDT. Polymarket resolves UP if Binance DOGE/USDT close >= open for the 1-hour candle starting at 5 PM ET. Price movements on one exchange may not match the other, and a 60-second snapshot may differ from a 1-hour candle. Track both sources separately and hedge accordingly.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves YES if 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT exceeds 0.0049999 (or any of 39 higher thresholds). Uses a specialized index from CF Benchmarks, not a spot exchange. Key Quote: 'If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 0.0049999 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Resolves UP if Binance DOGE/USDT 1-hour candle close price >= open price for the candle beginning at 5 PM ET on June 12. Uses spot exchange data, not a specialized index. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to UP if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

Resolution depends on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT on June 12, 2026. The official final value is calculated by averaging all 60 RTI prices collected at expiration. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the averaged price exceeds its corresponding threshold. CF Benchmarks' RTI serves as the definitive price source for this market, independent of other cryptocurrency price data providers like Google or Coinbase.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity for the Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET event across Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays the consensus probability that Dogecoin will move up or down by the specified resolution time, along with current market depth, recent trade volume, and historical price movements across both platforms. You can compare how different prediction markets are pricing the same event, track shifts in sentiment as new information emerges, and monitor total liquidity across venues to gauge market confidence in the outcome.

Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective belief about Dogecoin's direction by June 12, 5PM ET, but they differ from spot price in important ways. While spot price shows current market value, prediction odds embed forward-looking expectations, volatility premia, and risk sentiment. Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi may price in macroeconomic catalysts, regulatory news, or technical levels that spot markets have not yet fully absorbed. The gap between market-implied probability and your own conviction on direction represents potential edge in these markets.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi and Polymarket attract different trader bases, operate under distinct regulatory frameworks, and may use slightly different outcome definitions or resolution criteria. Liquidity depth, fee structures, and user interface design also influence how quickly each platform reprices in response to news. Additionally, arbitrage friction—including withdrawal delays, slippage on smaller positions, and cross-platform trading costs—can sustain modest price gaps between venues. Monitoring both platforms helps you identify mispricings and understand where smart money is positioning ahead of the June 12 resolution.

Dogecoin price action through June 12 will likely respond to Bitcoin and broader crypto market sentiment, regulatory announcements affecting digital assets, macroeconomic data, and social media momentum. Major exchange listings, partnership news, or technical breakouts could accelerate moves in either direction. Shifts in retail investor interest, changes in mining economics, and statements from influential figures in the crypto community may also drive volatility. Monitoring on-chain metrics, funding rates on derivatives exchanges, and cross-asset correlations will help you anticipate directional pressure before the 5PM ET resolution window.