TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 12:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about Dogecoin's price direction by Jun 11, 2026, while spot price expectations derive from real-time exchange data and analyst forecasts. Prediction markets often diverge from spot prices because they incorporate longer-term sentiment and tail-risk hedging. Comparing Polymarket odds to major exchange spot prices and consensus analyst calls reveals whether the market is pricing in upside, downside, or neutral momentum. Larger divergences may signal either market inefficiency or genuine disagreement about near-term catalysts.
The market resolves at Jun 11, 2026. At that moment, Dogecoin's price is assessed against the specified threshold to determine whether the "Up" or "Down" outcome occurred. Resolution is final once the outcome is confirmed, and all winning shares pay out their full value while losing shares expire worthless. Traders should verify the exact price source and methodology used for settlement before the deadline to avoid surprises.
Key catalysts for Dogecoin price movement include major cryptocurrency market rallies or selloffs, regulatory announcements affecting crypto broadly, social media sentiment spikes, Bitcoin dominance shifts, and macroeconomic data releases. Dogecoin is particularly sensitive to community-driven hype and celebrity endorsements. Broader crypto adoption news, exchange listings, or technical developments in the Dogecoin ecosystem can also shift trader expectations. Monitoring these signals helps predict whether Polymarket odds will drift toward the Up or Down outcome before Jun 11, 2026.