TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about Dogecoin's direction by June 1, 4PM ET, which may differ from current spot price sentiment or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in longer-term directional bets with a defined endpoint. Comparing Polymarket odds to broader market sentiment, social media discussion, and analyst price targets can reveal whether traders are more or less bullish than the wider crypto community expects at this specific moment.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET event is priced through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The current implied probability for the up or down direction reflects the ratio of capital allocated to each side. As traders place orders, prices adjust dynamically. Liquidity depth and recent trading volume influence how easily large positions can be entered or exited without significant price slippage.
The market resolves at Jun 1, 2026. At that moment, Dogecoin's price direction will be determined and the outcome locked in. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact resolution criteria—whether the market measures price against a specific reference point, exchange, or methodology—are defined in the market's terms. Monitoring the official event parameters and any clarifications from Polymarket ensures traders understand precisely how the outcome will be adjudicated.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency, macroeconomic shifts in risk sentiment, Elon Musk statements or Tesla developments, Bitcoin price movements (Dogecoin often correlates with BTC), and broader crypto market rallies or selloffs. Social media trends, meme-driven trading waves, and exchange listings or delistings can also trigger volatility. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may influence short-term direction. Traders monitor these signals to adjust positions and update their probability estimates as new information emerges before the June 1, 4PM ET deadline.