TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 9:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about Dogecoin's price direction, often diverging from spot-price momentum alone. While technical analysis and recent price action inform many traders' positions, this market prices in broader sentiment, news flow, and macro conditions. If the implied probability for an up move differs significantly from what on-chain metrics or analyst forecasts suggest, that gap may signal either mispricing or genuine disagreement about near-term catalysts.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker mechanism, where buy and sell orders directly move the price toward equilibrium. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of all active traders at any given moment. As new information arrives—regulatory news, exchange listings, or broader crypto sentiment shifts—traders adjust positions, and the odds update in real time to reflect the market's evolving view of the outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on Dogecoin's closing price relative to its opening level at the specified time. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome receive their payout once the final price is established and verified, while losing positions expire worthless.
Major catalysts include Elon Musk announcements or social-media activity, regulatory developments affecting meme coins or crypto broadly, Bitcoin or Ethereum price swings that typically drag altcoins along, and macroeconomic data affecting risk appetite. Exchange listings, partnership news, or shifts in retail trading sentiment can also drive sharp repricing. Technical levels and options expiry on other crypto assets may create spillover volatility that influences this market's trajectory in the final hours before settlement.