TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about Dogecoin's price direction, which may differ from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot price shows the asset's value right now, this market prices in forward-looking sentiment—what traders collectively believe will happen by the resolution date. If the market odds diverge significantly from technical analysis or on-chain metrics, it may signal either an opportunity or a warning sign. Comparing the two helps traders identify potential mispricings and validate their own thesis before committing capital.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell binary outcome shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one outcome—Dogecoin Up or Dogecoin Down—and the price of each share reflects the probability the market assigns to that outcome. As traders place orders, the price adjusts in real time based on supply and demand. The current odds are visible on the order book, allowing you to see exactly what other participants are willing to pay or accept for exposure to either outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, at which point the outcome will be determined based on Dogecoin's price movement verified against credible public sources. Once the event time passes and sufficient confirmation is available, the market will settle in favor of whichever outcome occurred. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and final, closing all open positions and distributing winnings accordingly.
Several catalysts could shift odds in this market before Jul 13, 2026. Major cryptocurrency news—regulatory announcements, exchange listings, or macroeconomic shifts affecting risk appetite—often triggers sharp price moves in Dogecoin. Social media momentum and community sentiment can also influence short-term price action. Technical levels and support/resistance zones may attract traders looking to position ahead of the deadline. Broader crypto market volatility, Bitcoin movements, and changes in trader positioning on Polymarket itself will all contribute to how odds evolve as the resolution date approaches.