TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Dogecoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream DOGE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Dogecoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream DOGE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about Dogecoin's direction over the specified timeframe, often diverging from spot price momentum alone. While technical analysts and on-chain observers may focus on recent price action and support levels, this market prices in broader sentiment, including macro sentiment, exchange flows, and retail positioning. The odds can signal whether the crowd expects mean reversion, continuation, or consolidation—data points that complement but do not replace traditional spot price analysis or fundamental research.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares tied to each outcome—up or down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the implied probability that outcome will occur, with the two outcomes summing to 100 percent. Liquidity and order flow determine how quickly prices move; larger trades can shift odds more dramatically on thinner books, while sustained volume tends to stabilize prices around consensus levels.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome is determined by whether Dogecoin's price moved up or down during the specified window. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout once the result is finalized and the market is settled on the platform.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting crypto broadly, Elon Musk social media activity or Tesla-related news, Bitcoin price swings that often drag altcoins, exchange listings or delistings, and macroeconomic data affecting risk appetite. Intraday volatility spikes, whale transactions visible on-chain, and shifts in retail sentiment on social platforms can also drive rapid repricing. Technical levels and support/resistance zones may trigger algorithmic trading, amplifying directional moves closer to the resolution window.