TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dogecoin Up or Down - April 3, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 3, 5PM ET

Volume:
$4,675

$0.09 or above

 - Kalshi

$0.09 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 4, 2026

Closed: Apr 3, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$0.09 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,558
N/A
N/A
$931
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.085 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$177
N/A
N/A
$96
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.08 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
$73
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 3, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.075 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.02 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.025 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.005 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.015 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.03 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.035 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.04 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.045 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.195 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,872
N/A
N/A
$1,872
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.1 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$501
N/A
N/A
$439
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.095 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$335
N/A
N/A
$245
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.105 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.11 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.05 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.055 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.06 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.065 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.07 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.115 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 43

Description

This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down during a specific 1-hour candle on April 3, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance DOGE/USDT candle data (close vs open), while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index with multiple price thresholds. The markets measure directional price movement but rely on fundamentally different data sources and methodologies.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi employ incompatible data sources (Binance spot candle vs CF Benchmarks index), different measurement windows (1-hour candle vs 60-second average), and fundamentally different resolution structures (single binary vs 41 threshold-based binaries). These differences will produce divergent outcomes.Hero tip: Polymarket traders should monitor Binance DOGE/USDT 1H candle open and close prices. Kalshi traders should track CF Benchmarks DOGEUSD_RTI 60-second average before 5 PM EDT. Do not cross-hedge these positions assuming they resolve identically. Exchange spreads and index calculation differences could create arbitrage or loss scenarios.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Single binary market: resolves Up if Binance DOGE/USDT 1-hour candle close >= open, otherwise Down. Uses official Binance exchange data for the specific 1H candle beginning at 5 PM ET on April 3, 2026. Key Quote: 'The close C and open O displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: 41 separate binary markets, each tied to a specific price threshold for CF Benchmarks DOGEUSD_RTI. Each resolves Yes if the 60-second average before 5 PM EDT exceeds its threshold (e.g., 0.0049999, 0.01, 0.015, ... 0.21). No single Up/Down outcome; instead, multiple threshold-based Yes/No outcomes. Key Quote: 'If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Apr 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.