TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.9b

24H VOL:

$277,664,645

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,114,870

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,379,707,856

581,715

Markets across

14,439

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,118

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
polymarket
kalshi

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 5PM ET? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$677
PredictionHero
Dogecoin price on Apr 24, 2026? 100%
kalshi
Dogecoin price on Apr 24, 2026? 100%
kalshi
Dogecoin price on Apr 24, 2026? 100%
kalshi
Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Jun…020406080100

Closed: Apr 24, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi provides 42 redundant price-threshold conditions with no explicit No outcome defined, while Polymarket offers zero documented resolution rules. The absence of Polymarket rules and the logical redundancy of Kalshi's conditions make reliable cross-platform settlement impossible.

Hero Tip:

Do not trade this group until: (1) Polymarket publishes explicit resolution rules; (2) Kalshi clarifies whether the 42 conditions are separate markets or a single unified Yes/No binary; (3) both platforms confirm the exact 60-second measurement window and data source fallback procedures.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi:

    42 conditions, all resolving to Yes if DOGEUSD_RTI 60-second average exceeds stated threshold before 5 PM EDT on Apr 24, 2026. Lowest threshold is 0.0099999; highest is 0.2099999. No explicit No outcome or fallback logic documented. Key quote: 'If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold]... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket:

    No detailed rules available. Settlement mechanism, thresholds, data source, and Yes/No conditions are entirely undocumented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.