TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dogecoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Volume:
$1,201

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

 - Polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 22, 2026

Closed: Apr 21, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
$76
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$715
N/A
N/A
$639
Settled
No
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
$86
Settled
No
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 21, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This market group tracks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down during a specific 4-hour window on April 21, 2026 (4:00 PM–8:00 PM ET). Both platforms measure price change over this interval, but they use different data sources and methodologies: Kalshi references CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) at a single checkpoint (5 PM EDT), while Polymarket uses Chainlink's DOGE/USD data stream to compare opening and closing prices across the full 4–8 PM window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains 37 logically contradictory resolution conditions that all resolve to YES for any price above 0.005, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses a clear directional comparison (price at end vs. price at start), creating an irreconcilable divergence in resolution logic.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market as specified—it contains a critical data integrity failure. The 37 conditions are redundant and overlap completely; any DOGE price above $0.005 triggers YES across all thresholds. On Polymarket, you have a clean binary: if DOGE closes higher than it opens during 4:00–8:00 PM ET on April 21, you win; otherwise you lose. Trade Polymarket only.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market lists 37 separate YES-resolution conditions, each checking if the 60-second average of DOGEUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT exceeds a specific price threshold (ranging from 0.005 to 0.185). All conditions reference the same measurement point (5 PM EDT) and the same data source (CF Benchmarks DOGEUSD_RTI). Because every threshold is independent and non-exclusive, if the price is above 0.005, ALL 37 conditions are simultaneously true, creating logical redundancy and ambiguity about which condition actually governs resolution. The market provides no explicit NO condition or fallback rule.
  • Polymarket: Market uses a simple directional comparison: resolves UP if Dogecoin price at 8:00 PM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 4:00 PM ET on April 21, 2026; otherwise resolves DOWN. Resolution source is Chainlink DOGE/USD data stream. This is a clean binary outcome with no ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.