TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Description
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Dogecoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream DOGE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi provides 42 granular price-level resolution conditions covering a continuous range (0.005 to 0.21 DOGE/USD), while Polymarket offers no detailed rules. This creates a fundamental data integrity and resolvability failure: Kalshi's logic is internally contradictory (all 42 conditions resolve to YES if price exceeds the lowest threshold of 0.0049999), and Polymarket cannot be audited for consistency.Hero Tip:
Do not trade these markets. Kalshi's resolution logic is logically broken—every single condition triggers YES if DOGE/USD exceeds 0.005 at 5 PM EDT, making the market unresolvable as stated. Polymarket's absence of rules creates unquantifiable counterparty risk. Wait for corrected rule sets before entering positions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: No detailed resolution rules provided. Market title suggests binary up/down outcome during 4:00 PM–8:00 PM ET window on April 17, but settlement mechanism, data source, and price reference point are entirely absent.
- Kalshi: 42 overlapping price-level conditions, all referencing the same measurement (60-second average of DOGEUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT on April 17, 2026). All conditions resolve YES if price exceeds threshold. Lowest threshold is 0.0049999; if price ≥ 0.005, all 42 conditions are simultaneously true, collapsing the market into a single binary outcome with no granularity.
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