TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Crypto
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 5PM ET

Volume:
$1,140

$0.09 or above

 - Kalshi

$0.09 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 14, 2026

Closed: Apr 13, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$0.09 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$434
N/A
N/A
$420
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 5PM ET

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.085 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.005 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.01 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.015 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.02 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.025 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.03 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.035 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.04 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.045 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.05 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.055 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.06 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.065 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.07 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.075 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.08 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.095 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$497
N/A
N/A
$450
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.1 or above

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.105 or above

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.11 or above

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.115 or above

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.12 or above

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down during a specific 1-hour trading window on April 13, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance DOGE/USDT candle data (close vs. open), while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index with multiple price thresholds. The markets measure directional price movement but employ fundamentally different data sources and resolution methodologies.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi employ fundamentally different data sources (Binance DOGE/USDT vs. CF Benchmarks DOGEUSD_RTI), measurement windows (1-hour candle open/close vs. 60-second average), and resolution structures (binary Up/Down vs. 28 independent threshold-based markets). These differences can produce non-overlapping outcomes.Hero tip: Treat Polymarket and Kalshi as separate, non-hedgeable markets. Polymarket resolves to a single binary outcome (Up or Down). Kalshi offers 28 independent markets, each with its own Yes/No resolution tied to a specific price threshold. Price discovery on one platform does not guarantee resolution alignment on the other. Monitor both Binance and CF Benchmarks data independently in the hour leading up to 5 PM EDT on April 13, 2026.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down resolution based on Binance DOGE/USDT 1-hour candle. Resolves Up if close price >= open price for the 1-hour candle beginning at the specified time. Uses official Binance exchange data as the sole source of truth. Single outcome per market.
  • Kalshi: 28 separate Yes/No markets, each tied to a specific price threshold of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI). Each market resolves Yes if the 60-second average of DOGEUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT exceeds its designated threshold. Thresholds range from 0.0049999 to 0.1849999. Multiple independent outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.