TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dogecoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Volume:
$533

$0.09 or above

 - Kalshi

$0.09 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Apr 12, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$0.09 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
$38
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.005 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.035 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.05 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.015 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.02 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.025 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.03 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.04 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.045 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.055 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.06 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.065 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.07 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.075 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.08 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.135 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$328
N/A
N/A
$328
Settled
No
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.095 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.11 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.14 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.145 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.15 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.155 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price will be higher at the end of a 4-hour window (4:00 PM–8:00 PM ET on April 12) compared to its price at the start. Polymarket uses Chainlink's DOGE/USD data stream, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) measured at 5 PM EDT—creating a fundamental mismatch in both data source and measurement timing.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Three critical misalignments: (1) Data source fragmentation—Chainlink DOGE/USD vs CF Benchmarks DOGEUSD_RTI; (2) Timing mismatch—Polymarket measures 4-hour window (4:00 PM–8:00 PM ET) vs Kalshi measures single 60-second average at 5 PM EDT; (3) Kalshi market structure appears malformed with 37 logically identical YES-resolution conditions, suggesting data integrity failure or incomplete market specification.Hero tip: Treat these as two separate, non-correlated markets. Polymarket is a directional 4-hour bet; Kalshi is a point-in-time threshold check at 5 PM. Do not hedge one against the other. Kalshi's redundant condition structure is a red flag—contact the platform for clarification before committing capital. Verify Kalshi's settlement date (2026 vs 2025 discrepancy).

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Directional price comparison across 4-hour window using Chainlink DOGE/USD oracle. Resolves UP if price at 8:00 PM ET >= price at 4:00 PM ET; otherwise DOWN. Single binary outcome. Source: https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd
  • Kalshi: Point-in-time threshold measurement using CF Benchmarks DOGEUSD_RTI 60-second average before 5 PM EDT on April 12, 2026. Contains 37 conditions, all resolving YES if average exceeds thresholds ranging from 0.0099999 to 0.1849999. Market structure appears logically redundant or incomplete.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.