TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dogecoin Up or Down - April 10, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 10, 5PM ET

Volume:
$12,801

$0.005 or above

 - Kalshi

$0.005 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 10, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$0.005 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,933
N/A
N/A
$6,933
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.09 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$126
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.085 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
$61
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.045 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.095 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,750
N/A
N/A
$2,540
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.155 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,156
N/A
N/A
$1,156
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.1 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$493
N/A
N/A
$493
Settled
No
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 10, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.16 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.165 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.175 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.18 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.185 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.19 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.195 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.2 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.205 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.21 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.105 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.01 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.015 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.02 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.025 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.03 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.035 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 43

Description

This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down during a specific 1-hour trading window on April 10, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance DOGE/USDT candle data (close vs open comparison), while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index with 40 distinct price-level thresholds. The markets are fundamentally measuring different things: directional movement versus absolute price levels.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure fundamentally different settlement values: Polymarket resolves on directional movement (close vs open) from a single exchange candle, while Kalshi resolves on absolute price levels from a real-time index. The data sources, measurement windows, and resolution mechanics are incompatible.Hero tip: Treat these as separate, non-hedgeable markets. Polymarket bettors are predicting direction; Kalshi bettors are predicting price levels. Cross-platform arbitrage is not viable here. Confirm your preferred data source: Binance spot DOGE/USDT for Polymarket, or CF Benchmarks DOGEUSD_RTI for Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary directional market. Resolves UP if the close price of the DOGE/USDT 1-hour candle (starting at 5 PM ET on April 10) is greater than or equal to the open price. Otherwise resolves DOWN. Single data source: Binance DOGE/USDT pair. Key Quote: 'The close and open displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: 40 separate binary markets, each tied to a specific price threshold (0.005, 0.010, 0.015, ... 0.205). Each resolves YES if the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks DOGEUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT exceeds that threshold. Data source: CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index (not Binance). Key Quote: 'If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks Dogecoin Real-Time Index before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.