TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of Dogecoin on a specific date and time, dividing possible outcomes into narrow numerical ranges. Each range represents a distinct potential market resolution based on where the price falls at the specified moment.
The event resolves based on the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) measured immediately before 5 PM EDT on September 4, 2026. Thirty-nine separate price ranges, each spanning $0.005 increments from $0.00999 or below up to $0.20 or above, define possible outcomes. If the measured average falls within any specified range at the exact timestamp, the corresponding market resolves as 'Yes'; all others resolve as 'No'. All markets share identical measurement methodology and data source, with CF Benchmarks' index being the sole authoritative price reference regardless of discrepancies with consumer-facing platforms like Google or Coinbase.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the most likely range based on collective participant input. The market’s price adjusts dynamically to new information, such as major crypto news, macroeconomic data releases, or shifts in investor sentiment affecting Dogecoin and broader cryptocurrency markets.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final Dogecoin price at the specified time will be compared against the market’s defined ranges, and the matching bucket will settle as the winning outcome. No additional interpretation beyond publicly available data is required.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 4, 2026: major cryptocurrency exchange updates, regulatory announcements impacting cryptocurrencies, macroeconomic data releases, influential social media commentary from high-profile figures, and broader market volatility affecting investor risk appetite. Each of these can cause rapid reassessments of Dogecoin’s expected price range, moving trader positions and market odds on Kalshi.