TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of Dogecoin on a specific date and time, dividing possible outcomes into narrow numerical ranges. Each range represents a potential market outcome based on where the price falls at the specified moment.
The event resolves based on the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) measured immediately before 5 PM EDT on September 25, 2026. Thirty-nine distinct price ranges, each spanning $0.005 increments from $0.00999 or below up to $0.20 or above, define possible outcomes. If the measured average falls within any specified range, the corresponding market resolves as 'Yes'; all others resolve as 'No'. All markets share identical measurement methodology and data source, with CF Benchmarks' index being the sole authority for price determination regardless of other potential sources.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Dogecoin price ranges. The prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a specific price range is likely, the higher the price of contracts for that range will climb. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Dogecoin price at 5pm EDT on September 25, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will pay out to the contracts corresponding to the price range that contains the actual Dogecoin price at the specified time. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome, reflecting the actual market conditions on that date.
Several signals and events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Major developments in the broader cryptocurrency market, such as regulatory changes or the adoption of Dogecoin by large companies, could have a substantial impact. News regarding technological upgrades to the Dogecoin network or shifts in community sentiment could also drive price fluctuations. Unexpected macroeconomic events or changes in global risk appetite could also influence the price of Dogecoin, and therefore the trading activity within this market.