TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event determines the price range of Dogecoin on a specific date and time by measuring its average value against predefined brackets. The outcome depends solely on where the price falls within these ranges at the exact moment specified.
The event resolves based on the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) measured immediately before 5 PM EDT on September 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price bracket, and the market associated with the bracket that contains the measured average price will resolve to 'Yes.' All markets use the same data source and timing, ensuring consistency across outcomes. The secondary rule clarifies that while various platforms may display different prices, CF Benchmarks' index is the authoritative source for resolution.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the Dogecoin price on September 18, 2026, that may differ from current spot price expectations or analyst predictions. This market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders, potentially offering a more nuanced view than a single expert opinion. If a significant number of traders believe the price will be higher than current expectations, the odds will shift accordingly, and vice versa. It's important to remember that this market represents a probabilistic forecast, not a definitive prediction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing different Dogecoin price ranges. The prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and liquidity are visible on the dashboard, showing the available contracts and their corresponding prices.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Dogecoin price at 5pm EDT on September 18, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will pay out to the contracts corresponding to the correct price range at that time. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and publicly available source for Dogecoin pricing data, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the event.
Several factors could significantly influence this market between now and September 18, 2026. Major developments in the broader cryptocurrency market, such as regulatory changes or the emergence of competing cryptocurrencies, could impact Dogecoin’s price. News regarding Dogecoin’s adoption by businesses or endorsements from prominent figures could also cause shifts. Additionally, technological advancements related to Dogecoin's blockchain or changes in its community sentiment could move this market. Macroeconomic factors, like inflation or interest rate changes, may also play a role.