TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of Dogecoin on a specific date and time, dividing possible outcomes into narrow numerical ranges. Each range represents a potential market resolution based on where the price falls at the exact moment specified.
The event resolves based on the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) measured immediately before 5 PM EDT on September 11, 2026. Thirty-nine distinct price ranges, each spanning $0.005 increments from $0.0099999 or below up to $0.2 or above, define possible outcomes. If the measured average falls within any specified range at the designated time, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'. All markets share identical measurement methodology and data source, with CF Benchmarks' index being the sole authority for price determination, regardless of discrepancies with other public sources.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders believe the probability is of Dogecoin falling within a specific price range on the resolution date. This differs from simple spot price expectations, which are a snapshot of the current market value. This market aggregates the collective wisdom of participants, potentially offering a more nuanced view of future price movements than individual analyst predictions. Currently, polls and analysts are offering a wide range of forecasts for Dogecoin's future, and this market provides a way to compare those expectations against the crowd's assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Dogecoin price ranges. The price of each contract reflects the perceived probability of Dogecoin being within that range at the specified time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to incorporate new data and react to events that could influence Dogecoin’s value.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Dogecoin price at 5pm EDT on September 11, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will pay out to the contracts corresponding to the price range that contains the actual Dogecoin price at the specified time. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and publicly available source for Dogecoin’s price, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Numerous signals and events could significantly move this market. Major developments in the broader cryptocurrency space, such as regulatory changes or advancements in blockchain technology, could impact Dogecoin’s price. News regarding adoption by large companies or influencers, as well as significant shifts in market sentiment, could also drive price fluctuations. Unexpected macroeconomic events or changes in global financial conditions could also play a role, as these factors can influence investor risk appetite and impact the entire crypto market.