TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides Dogecoin's price on June 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT into consecutive price ranges. Participants select which range they believe DOGE will fall within, with bands spanning from below $0.01 to above $0.165.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 25, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price range; the market resolves Yes for the outcome whose range contains the final averaged price. CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source, not general market data from other platforms. The official value is calculated by averaging exactly 60 RTI price points collected in the final minute before expiration.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader beliefs about future spot prices, often diverging from current market rates. When this market shows high probability on a particular price range, it signals collective expectation that Dogecoin will move into that band by the deadline. Comparing these odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain sentiment can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish momentum, bearish pressure, or consolidation. Mismatches between prediction odds and conventional price targets sometimes highlight contrarian views worth monitoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share pays out a fixed amount if that range settles as the true outcome, and traders profit or lose based on the entry and exit prices they achieve. The bid-ask spread reflects real-time supply and demand for each outcome, with tighter spreads indicating higher confidence and liquidity around certain price bands.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, at which point the actual Dogecoin price is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which price range bracket contains the verified spot price at that exact moment. Once the settlement time passes and the price is confirmed, the market locks and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning outcome. No further trading occurs after resolution.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency adoption, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin price action (which often leads altcoin moves), and Dogecoin-specific developments such as network upgrades or endorsements. Social media sentiment and retail trading waves can also drive sharp repricing of the odds. Broader crypto market volatility, changes in stablecoin dynamics, and shifts in institutional interest all influence trader conviction about where Dogecoin will settle by the deadline.