TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks Dogecoin's price at a specific moment in time on June 23, 2026. Participants predict which price range Dogecoin will fall into at 5 PM EDT, with prices measured using CF Benchmarks' official real-time index rather than spot prices from individual exchanges.
Resolution is determined by calculating the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 23, 2026. The market uses CF Benchmarks' RTI as the authoritative price source rather than alternative data providers, ensuring consistency across all price-range outcomes. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price band, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the 60-second average falls within the defined ranges.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, often diverging from current spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment and event risk. While spot exchanges show what DOGE costs right now, this market prices in uncertainty about future price movement over a defined window. Comparing the implied probabilities here to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in bullish, bearish, or neutral momentum relative to consensus expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform converts bid-ask spreads into implied probabilities, so tighter spreads indicate higher confidence in a particular range, while wider spreads signal uncertainty. Prices update in real time as new orders flow in, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed by verifying Dogecoin's actual price against credible public sources. The winning price range is determined by where DOGE trades at the specified moment, and all shares corresponding to that bracket are paid out in full while others expire worthless. Resolution happens automatically once the event is observable and verified, ensuring a transparent and final settlement.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin price action (which often correlates with altcoins), social media momentum, and developments in blockchain adoption or Dogecoin-specific news. Exchange listings, whale transactions, or shifts in retail sentiment can also drive sharp repricing. Technical levels, funding rate changes, and broader crypto market volatility will likely influence trader positioning and odds throughout the countdown to settlement.