TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides Dogecoin's price on June 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT into distinct price ranges. Traders select which range they believe the price will fall within, with each range representing a $0.005 interval.
Resolution is based on the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 22, 2026. Each outcome represents a specific price range, and the market resolves to Yes for the outcome matching where the 60-second average falls. The official price source is CF Benchmarks' RTI. At the final minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected and averaged to determine which range applies for resolution.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about future price ranges and often diverge from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets price Dogecoin based on immediate supply and demand, this market embeds forward-looking expectations about volatility, adoption catalysts, and macro sentiment. Traders here are making explicit bets on where DOGE will land at a defined future moment, so the odds can signal whether the crowd expects appreciation, depreciation, or consolidation relative to today's levels. Comparing these odds to your own outlook helps identify mispriced ranges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each range contract trades independently, and the price of a share reflects the implied probability that Dogecoin will close within that band. As traders adjust their positions, the odds update in real time. The platform matches buyers and sellers directly, so liquidity and spreads depend on active participation in each price tier.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, at which point the actual Dogecoin price will be verified and compared against the predefined price ranges. The outcome is determined by where DOGE trades at that exact timestamp, with the result confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Whichever price range contains the settlement price will be marked correct, and traders holding shares in that outcome receive their payout. All other ranges expire worthless.
Major catalysts that could shift odds include regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, macroeconomic policy shifts, Bitcoin price movements (which often correlate with altcoins), Dogecoin-specific developments like exchange listings or protocol updates, and shifts in retail or institutional sentiment. Social media momentum and celebrity endorsements have historically influenced DOGE volatility. Broader crypto market stress or rallies, changes in stablecoin dynamics, and traditional finance market shocks can also reprrice expectations. Traders monitor these signals to adjust positions ahead of the settlement date.