TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides Dogecoin's price on June 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT into consecutive price ranges, allowing participants to predict which specific band DOGE will fall within. Each outcome represents a $0.005 price interval, from below $0.01 up to $0.175 and above. The final price is determined by averaging 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index data.
Resolution is based on the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 21, 2026. The price range is divided into consecutive $0.005 intervals; exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the 60-second average falls (e.g., below 0.01 for the first outcome, between 0.01-0.0149999 for the second, between 0.015-0.0199999 for the third, etc.). CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source rather than general market data from exchanges. The official final value is calculated as the average of all 60 RTI prices collected during the final minute before expiration.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to stake on specific price ranges, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market aggregates forward-looking sentiment about where Dogecoin will settle on the target date. The odds can signal whether the crowd expects upward momentum, consolidation, or downside pressure relative to today's price—offering a probabilistic view that complements traditional technical and fundamental analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time odds for each price range bracket. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in which range Dogecoin will occupy, and the platform's pricing algorithm adjusts odds continuously based on order flow and liquidity. This mechanism ensures transparent, friction-reduced price discovery without reliance on a central counterparty.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed by verifying Dogecoin's price against credible public sources. Once the event is observable and documented, the platform will settle all positions in the winning price range bracket. Traders holding shares in the correct range receive their payout, while other positions expire worthless.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency markets, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin price movements (since Dogecoin often correlates with BTC), and social media or celebrity endorsements that historically influence Dogecoin sentiment. Technical developments, exchange listings, or shifts in retail trading interest can also drive sharp repricing. Broader crypto market volatility, Federal Reserve policy changes, and shifts in stablecoin or DeFi dynamics may indirectly pressure this market as traders adjust their price expectations.