TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides Dogecoin's price on June 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT into specific price ranges. Traders select which range they believe DOGE will fall within, from below $0.01 up to $0.175 and above. The price is determined using CF Benchmarks' official Dogecoin Real-Time Index.
Resolution is based on the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) calculated immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 20, 2026. The price range outcomes partition the full spectrum into consecutive bands, with each outcome covering a specific interval (e.g., below $0.01, $0.01–$0.0149999, $0.015–$0.0199999, continuing through higher ranges up to $0.175 and above). Exactly one outcome will resolve Yes based on where the average price falls. The official price source is CF Benchmarks' RTI, ensuring consistency and preventing disputes over price discrepancies between exchanges.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect what traders collectively believe Dogecoin's price will be, which often diverges from current spot prices on exchanges. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking expectations and tail-risk hedging. Comparing the implied probabilities here to analyst forecasts and on-chain sentiment can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish momentum, bearish pressure, or consolidation. Significant gaps between prediction odds and consensus analyst views may signal underpriced or overpriced outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share pays out a fixed amount if that range is correct at settlement, and traders compete to set the most competitive bid and ask prices. The current odds displayed reflect the midpoint of the tightest spread, allowing new traders to enter at transparent, real-time rates. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tight the spreads remain and how quickly large orders can be filled.
This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, when Dogecoin's price at that specific moment is verified against credible public sources. The winning outcome is determined by which price range bracket contains the verified spot price, and all shares in that bracket pay out in full. Traders holding positions in non-winning brackets receive nothing. Resolution is final once the price is confirmed and the payout is distributed to winners.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency adoption, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin price movements (which often correlate with altcoins), and Dogecoin-specific developments such as exchange listings or protocol upgrades. Social media sentiment and celebrity endorsements have historically influenced DOGE volatility. Broader crypto market events—such as Federal Reserve policy changes or institutional adoption news—can also trigger sharp repricing. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust their positions ahead of resolution.