TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides Dogecoin's price on June 19, 2026 at 5pm EDT into specific price ranges, with each outcome representing a distinct band from below $0.01 up to $0.20 and above. The price is determined by a 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index.
Resolution is based on the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) calculated in the final minute before 5 PM EDT on June 19, 2026. Each outcome represents a specific price range, and exactly one outcome will resolve to Yes based on where the average falls. The ranges span from below $0.01 through $0.20 and above, with each range covering a $0.005 increment. CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source for determining which range bracket applies at expiration.
Prediction market odds reveal what traders collectively believe will occur, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets reflect immediate supply and demand, this market aggregates forward-looking conviction across multiple price ranges over a defined time horizon. Traders who expect Dogecoin to appreciate or depreciate significantly can express that view by backing specific ranges. The odds shift as new information emerges, making them a dynamic gauge of market sentiment distinct from any single analyst's point estimate or today's exchange rate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each range contract trades independently, with its price reflecting the probability that Dogecoin will close within that band at the specified time. Traders profit by correctly predicting which range will contain the settlement price, and the market's pricing adjusts in real time as positions accumulate and new participants enter. Liquidity and spreads vary across different price bands depending on trader interest.
This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, at which point the winning range is determined by Dogecoin's verified price at that moment. The outcome is confirmed once the settlement price is established from credible public sources and the event is no longer subject to dispute. Traders holding shares in the correct range receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the price data is finalized, ensuring a transparent and timely conclusion to all positions.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency adoption, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin price movements (which often correlate with altcoins), and Dogecoin-specific developments such as protocol upgrades or high-profile endorsements. Broader crypto sentiment, central bank policy decisions, and shifts in retail or institutional interest can all influence trader expectations for where DOGE will trade. Technical levels, on-chain metrics, and social media momentum may also sway positioning. Any unexpected news or market stress could trigger rapid repricing across the available ranges.