TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks Dogecoin's price range on June 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT using CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index. Outcomes are divided into specific price bands, from $0.0099999 or below up to $0.175 or above.
The market resolves based on the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) collected before 5 PM EDT on June 15, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price range, with ranges of approximately $0.005 width covering prices from below $0.01 up to $0.175 or above. The official price determination uses CF Benchmarks' RTI. At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected and averaged to determine the final resolution value.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders believe will happen, while spot prices show current market value. This market aggregates forward-looking sentiment from participants who have real capital at stake, often revealing expectations that differ from today's price. If traders expect Dogecoin to appreciate, odds will skew toward higher price ranges; if they anticipate decline, lower ranges gain probability weight. Comparing these odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can highlight where the crowd sees opportunity or risk. The gap between current spot price and the modal outcome in this market signals whether traders expect near-term movement.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each Dogecoin price range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each range has its own contract, and the price of a share reflects the implied probability that DOGE will close within that band at settlement. Traders profit by correctly predicting which range will contain the actual price, and losses occur if their chosen range misses. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery, with real-time updates as new orders flow in and existing positions shift.
This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, at which point the actual Dogecoin price will be verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by identifying which predefined price range contains DOGE's spot price at that exact moment. Once the settlement time passes and the price is confirmed, the range that includes the actual value is declared the winner, and all shares in that outcome are paid out at full value. Shares in all other ranges expire worthless. The resolution process is automated and transparent, with results typically finalized shortly after the event occurs.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin price movements (which often drive altcoin sentiment), and Dogecoin-specific news such as adoption milestones or developer updates. Social media momentum and celebrity endorsements have historically influenced DOGE volatility. Broader crypto market events—exchange listings, security breaches, or policy changes—can trigger sharp repricing across all ranges. Technical levels and resistance points may also attract trader attention as the settlement date approaches. Monitoring on-chain metrics, exchange inflows, and sentiment indicators will help you anticipate how odds might shift before resolution.