TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A cryptocurrency exchange rate price index for Dogecoin will be measured at a specific time on June 12, 2026, with multiple brackets tracking which specific price range the index falls within across a comprehensive spectrum of possible values.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 12, 2026. The official price is calculated from these 60 RTI data points averaged together. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price range, with the market resolving to the outcome matching where the final averaged price falls. CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source, distinct from other cryptocurrency price data sources.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader conviction about Dogecoin's price range on June 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate news and sentiment, prediction markets price in longer-term expectations and uncertainty over an 18-month horizon. Comparing the implied probabilities here to analyst price targets or social media sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish, bearish, or neutral scenarios relative to conventional expectations.
The market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, shortly after the specified timestamp of 5pm EDT on June 12, 2026. At that moment, Dogecoin's price will be observed and matched against the predefined price ranges offered in the market. The outcome corresponding to the actual price band will be marked correct, and all shares in that outcome will settle at $1 while other outcomes settle at $0. This precise, time-locked resolution ensures clarity and eliminates ambiguity about which range outcome occurred.
Major catalysts for Dogecoin price movement through June 2026 include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin price action (which often drives altcoin sentiment), adoption news from major merchants or platforms, and social media momentum shifts. Elon Musk statements or Tesla announcements have historically moved Dogecoin significantly. Federal Reserve policy, inflation data, and broader crypto market sentiment will also influence where Dogecoin trades by mid-2026. Technical developments, exchange listings, or integration into payment systems could also reshape price expectations closer to the resolution date.