TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of Dogecoin on June 11, 2026 at 5 PM EDT, measuring the 60-second average from CF Benchmarks' real-time index across a comprehensive range of price brackets from very low to higher valuations.
Settlement is determined by the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) collected before 5 PM EDT on June 11, 2026. The price is measured against specific thresholds ranging from $0.0099999 or below to $0.175 or above, with each threshold defining a separate market outcome. CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source, and prices are rounded to the nearest 8 decimal places. If no data is available at the specified time, the most recently published data will be used for resolution.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect crowd-sourced probability estimates that often diverge from simple spot price extrapolation. While spot prices reflect current market transactions, prediction odds incorporate forward-looking sentiment, volatility forecasts, and tail-risk premiums. Analysts and on-chain observers may publish price targets or technical forecasts that differ from the market's implied probabilities. Comparing Kalshi odds to independent analyst consensus or social media sentiment can reveal whether the prediction market is pricing in more bullish, bearish, or uncertain outcomes than the broader Dogecoin community expects.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this event is structured as a range-based contract where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific Dogecoin price brackets at the June 11, 2026 5pm EDT snapshot. Each outcome represents a distinct price interval, and share prices reflect the platform's order book and participant conviction. Kalshi's pricing mechanism aggregates supply and demand for each range, with tighter spreads indicating higher confidence and wider spreads suggesting uncertainty. The platform's regulatory framework and liquidity dynamics shape how efficiently prices discover the true probability of each outcome.
The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, which corresponds to the specified timestamp of June 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT. At that moment, Dogecoin's price will be observed and compared against the predefined range brackets. The outcome is determined by which price interval contains the actual spot price at resolution. Traders who held shares in the winning range receive their payout, while other positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated and final once the price data is confirmed and settled by the platform.
Dogecoin's price leading up to June 11, 2026 could be influenced by broader cryptocurrency market sentiment, Bitcoin and Ethereum volatility, regulatory announcements affecting crypto adoption, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and social media momentum around the Dogecoin community. Major tech or finance news, exchange listings or delistings, and shifts in retail investor interest can drive sharp moves. Additionally, developments in blockchain technology, changes to transaction fees or network upgrades, and correlation with traditional asset classes during market stress could all impact where Dogecoin trades at the resolution timestamp. Monitoring on-chain metrics and community activity provides early signals of potential price direction.