TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The price of Dogecoin will fall within a specific range as measured by a real-time index on June 1, 2026 at 5 PM EDT.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect trader expectations about Dogecoin's price range 18 months forward, incorporating volatility, macroeconomic factors, and on-chain metrics. These odds often diverge from current spot prices because markets price in future uncertainty and potential catalysts. Comparing Kalshi odds to analyst price targets and historical volatility patterns can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish, bearish, or neutral scenarios. Spot prices reflect immediate supply-demand dynamics, while prediction markets embed longer-term probability distributions across multiple price ranges.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this event is structured as a binary or range-based contract where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific Dogecoin price bands. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 100 cents, reflecting the implied probability that Dogecoin will close within that range at the specified time. Traders profit by correctly predicting which range will contain the settlement price. Kalshi's pricing mechanism aggregates all trader positions and order flow, with prices updating continuously as new bets are placed and existing positions are adjusted.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, capturing Dogecoin's price at exactly 5pm EDT on June 1, 2026. The outcome is determined by which price range the settlement price falls into at that moment. Resolution uses a specified data source to establish the official closing price, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Once the market resolves, traders holding winning shares receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The precise timing and data source are critical to fair settlement.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency adoption, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin price movements (which often drive altcoin sentiment), and Dogecoin-specific developments such as protocol upgrades or institutional adoption milestones. Social media trends and celebrity endorsements have historically influenced Dogecoin volatility. Federal Reserve policy, inflation data, and broader crypto market sentiment also shape long-term price expectations. Geopolitical events and changes in mining economics could impact supply dynamics. Traders monitor these signals to adjust their probability estimates and position sizes accordingly.