TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides Dogecoin's price on July 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT into specific price ranges. Traders select which range they believe the price will fall within, with each range representing a $0.005 interval.
If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is below 0.0100000 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0100000-0.0149999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0150000-0.0199999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0200000-0.0249999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0250000-0.0299999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0300000-0.0349999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0350000-0.0399999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0400000-0.0449999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0450000-0.0499999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0500000-0.0549999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0550000-0.0599999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0600000-0.0649999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0650000-0.0699999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0700000-0.0749999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0750000-0.0799999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0800000-0.0849999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0850000-0.0899999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0900000-0.0949999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.0950000-0.0999999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.1000000-0.1049999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.1050000-0.1099999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.1100000-0.1149999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.1150000-0.1199999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.1200000-0.1249999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.1250000-0.1299999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.1300000-0.1349999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.1350000-0.1399999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.1400000-0.1449999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.1450000-0.1499999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.1500000-0.1549999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.1550000-0.1599999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.1600000-0.1649999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 0.1649999 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about where Dogecoin will settle, often diverging from current spot prices because they factor in expected volatility, macroeconomic shifts, and sentiment over the forecast horizon. While spot exchanges show what DOGE trades for right now, this market prices in uncertainty and collective judgment about future conditions. Comparing the implied probabilities here to your own analysis of Dogecoin fundamentals, technical levels, and broader crypto market trends can reveal whether the market is pricing in too much or too little upside or downside risk by the resolution date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost of each share reflects the platform's real-time supply and demand for that bracket, so odds shift as new positions enter or exit. Your profit or loss depends on whether your chosen range outcome occurs, with payouts determined by the final verified Dogecoin price at the specified time. This mechanism ensures prices stay efficient and responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once the Dogecoin price at that moment is verifiable from credible public sources. The winning bracket is determined by where DOGE trades on major spot exchanges at the specified time, and all shares in the correct range are paid out at full value. Shares in incorrect ranges expire worthless. Resolution is final once the price data is locked in and validated.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency trading, macroeconomic policy shifts, Bitcoin price movements (which often drive altcoin sentiment), Dogecoin-specific developments or endorsements, and broader market risk-on or risk-off sentiment. Unexpected volatility in traditional markets, changes in stablecoin dynamics, or shifts in retail investor appetite for meme assets can also swing implied probabilities. Technical breakouts or breakdowns on the spot market, combined with social media momentum, historically influence trader positioning in Dogecoin price forecasts.