TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides Dogecoin's price on July 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT into discrete price ranges, allowing traders to bet on which specific band the price will fall within at that time.
Resolution is determined by the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) calculated immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 24, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price range, and the market resolves to Yes for the outcome whose range contains the final average price. CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source, not alternative platforms like Google or Coinbase. The official final value is computed as the simple average of 60 individual RTI prices collected in the final minute before market expiration.
Prediction market odds reveal what traders collectively expect, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. In this market, the odds reflect forward-looking sentiment about Dogecoin's value months ahead, factoring in volatility, adoption trends, and macro conditions. Spot prices react to immediate news and trading flows, whereas prediction odds embed longer-term positioning. Comparing the two can highlight whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish moves relative to today's level, helping traders gauge whether consensus leans toward appreciation or depreciation by the resolution date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each bracket has its own contract, and the sum of all winning-outcome probabilities equals 100 percent. Prices move as supply and demand shift, with tighter spreads indicating higher confidence in a particular range. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery, allowing traders to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, when the specified time window closes. The outcome is determined by verifying Dogecoin's price at that exact moment against credible public sources, such as major exchange data or price feeds. Once the event occurs and the price is confirmed, the prediction market settles automatically, paying out holders of the correct price-range contract. Traders should monitor the countdown and ensure their positions reflect their conviction about where DOGE will trade during that window.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency adoption, shifts in macroeconomic policy, and developments within the Dogecoin community or broader crypto ecosystem. Institutional adoption news, changes in exchange listings, or viral social media momentum can drive sharp repricing. Bitcoin and Ethereum movements often correlate with Dogecoin volatility, so tracking those markets provides early signals. Additionally, technical milestones, partnerships, or shifts in retail sentiment can reshape trader expectations. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer activity, and sentiment indices helps traders anticipate moves before they're fully priced in.