TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides Dogecoin's price on July 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT into distinct price ranges. Participants select which range they believe the price will fall within, with each range representing a $0.005 increment.
Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty consecutive one-second prices from CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) collected in the final minute before 5 PM EDT on July 11, 2026. Each outcome represents a mutually exclusive price range, and exactly one outcome will resolve to Yes based on where the calculated average falls. The official price source is CF Benchmarks' RTI, not alternative sources like Google or Coinbase.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. On this market, the odds embed forward-looking sentiment about Dogecoin's trajectory over the next two years, factoring in volatility, adoption trends, and macro conditions that spot prices alone may not fully price in. Unlike passive indices, prediction markets reward accurate forecasting, so odds tend to sharpen as the event date approaches. Comparing these odds to your own analysis of DOGE fundamentals can reveal whether the market is pricing in too much or too little upside risk.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different Dogecoin price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share pays out if its range occurs at the specified time, and the current bid-ask spread reflects real-time supply and demand. Prices range from near-zero for unlikely outcomes to close to 100 cents for heavily favored ranges. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, the spread tightens or widens, and you can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, when the Dogecoin price at that exact moment is verified and matched against the predefined ranges offered. The outcome is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting of DOGE's spot price. Whichever range bracket contains the actual price at 5pm EDT on July 11, 2026 will be declared the winner, and all shares in that outcome pay out in full. All other ranges expire worthless.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency adoption, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin price movements (which often correlate with altcoin sentiment), and Dogecoin-specific developments such as exchange listings or protocol upgrades. Broader crypto market sentiment, inflation data, and central bank policy can also sway trader conviction about where DOGE will land. As Jul 11, 2026 approaches, real-time price action and breaking news will compress uncertainty, tightening odds around the most likely outcome. Traders monitoring this market should watch both on-chain metrics and mainstream financial headlines for early signals.