TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Dogecoin's price at a specific moment in time on June 27, 2026. Traders predict whether DOGE will reach or exceed various price thresholds, from $0.005 up to $0.165, using CF Benchmarks' official real-time price index as the authoritative data source.
Resolution is determined by the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) calculated immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 27, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with resolution to Yes if the average price exceeds the threshold specified for that outcome. The official price source is CF Benchmarks' RTI, not alternative sources like Google or Coinbase, ensuring consistency across all price-based outcomes.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, often diverging from current spot prices due to time horizon and risk premium. While spot markets price Dogecoin for immediate exchange, this market embeds expectations about price movement over a defined future window. Traders may price in volatility, regulatory developments, or macroeconomic shifts that spot prices haven't yet fully absorbed. Comparing the implied price from market odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in optimism or caution relative to fundamental signals.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different price outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract corresponds to a specific price range or point estimate, and the market price of each contract reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome. As new information arrives—whether from Dogecoin developments, broader crypto sentiment, or macroeconomic news—traders adjust their bids and offers, moving the market price in real time. This continuous repricing ensures the odds stay aligned with evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources. The result will reflect the actual Dogecoin price at the specified time and venue, verified once the event is observable from established market data. Traders holding positions aligned with the final price will receive their payouts, while those on the wrong side of the move will realize losses. Resolution is automatic once the price is confirmed, ensuring a fair and transparent close to all positions.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency trading, macroeconomic policy shifts, and Dogecoin-specific developments such as exchange listings or protocol upgrades. Broader crypto sentiment—driven by Bitcoin and Ethereum price action, institutional adoption news, or market-wide corrections—typically influences altcoin expectations. Social media momentum and celebrity endorsements have historically moved Dogecoin, while on-chain metrics like transaction volume and holder concentration can signal shifting demand. Traders monitor these signals closely to adjust positions ahead of resolution.