TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Dogecoin's price on June 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT across multiple price thresholds. Participants predict whether DOGE will reach or exceed specific price levels, with outcomes ranging from $0.005 to $0.165. The final price is determined by averaging 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index data collected at the exact expiration time.
Resolution is determined by the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 24, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with resolution to Yes if the average exceeds the threshold value (e.g., above 0.0049999 for the $0.005 outcome, above 0.0099999 for the $0.01 outcome, continuing through $0.165). CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source, not alternative platforms. The official final value is calculated by averaging all 60 individual RTI prices collected during the final minute before expiration.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While traditional markets price Dogecoin based on supply, demand, and sentiment at any given moment, this market isolates a single future point in time, creating a focused probability estimate. Traders who believe the consensus odds underestimate or overestimate the likelihood of a particular price range can profit by taking the opposite side. This dynamic often reveals information gaps between casual observers and those actively trading on their conviction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Dogecoin price outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract's price directly reflects the implied probability that outcome will occur at settlement. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, bids and asks adjust, moving the market price in real time. The spread between buy and sell prices tightens as liquidity increases, rewarding active traders who provide depth to the market.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once Dogecoin's price is verifiable from credible public sources. The specific price level at that moment determines which contracts settle in the money and which expire worthless. Traders holding winning positions receive their payout automatically, while losing positions close at zero value. Resolution is final once the data is locked in, so timing and price precision matter significantly to the outcome.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency trading, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin price movements, and Dogecoin-specific developments such as network upgrades or adoption news. Social media sentiment and celebrity endorsements have historically influenced Dogecoin volatility. Broader crypto market crashes or rallies, changes in stablecoin policy, and shifts in institutional interest can all reshape trader expectations about where the price will land. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate market repricing before consensus catches up.