TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the Dogecoin price on June 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT. The price will be determined by averaging 60 seconds of real-time price data from CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index immediately before the expiration time.
Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 23, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with the market resolving Yes to the outcome matching the final averaged price. Price thresholds range from $0.005 and above through $0.175 and above, incrementing by $0.005 at each level. The official price source is CF Benchmarks' Real-Time Index rather than other cryptocurrency data providers, ensuring consistency and accuracy in determining which outcome resolves affirmatively.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about where Dogecoin will trade at the specified settlement time, often diverging from current spot prices due to time value and uncertainty. While spot markets price Dogecoin for immediate exchange, this market embeds forward-looking sentiment about price movement over the coming months. Traders in prediction markets typically incorporate technical analysis, on-chain metrics, and macroeconomic factors into their positions. These odds can serve as a useful benchmark against analyst forecasts and traditional financial models, though they represent probabilistic outcomes rather than price targets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to different Dogecoin price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract represents a binary outcome—either the price falls within a specified band at settlement or it does not—and traders profit or lose based on whether their prediction proves correct. The platform matches buyers and sellers in real time, with prices reflecting the collective willingness to bet on each outcome. Tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and liquidity, while wider spreads suggest greater uncertainty or lower trading activity.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed by verifying Dogecoin's price from credible public sources. The specific price level at that moment determines which prediction was correct and which traders receive their winnings. Resolution is typically automated once the data is available, ensuring fairness and eliminating disputes. Traders should monitor the approach to settlement and be aware that final confirmation may take a short period after the event time to allow for data verification.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin price movements, and Dogecoin-specific developments such as protocol upgrades or adoption milestones. Social media sentiment and celebrity endorsements have historically influenced Dogecoin volatility. Broader crypto market events—exchange listings, security breaches, or policy changes—can trigger sharp repricing. Traders typically monitor on-chain metrics, trading volume spikes, and correlation with traditional assets to anticipate directional moves before settlement.