TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Dogecoin's price at a specific moment on June 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT. The price is determined by taking the average of 60 individual price readings from CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index collected in the final minute before the deadline.
Resolution is based on the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 22, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with resolution occurring if the 60-second average exceeds the threshold specified for that outcome. The official price source is CF Benchmarks' RTI, not other cryptocurrency data providers. At the final minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected and averaged to determine the official resolution value.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets price Dogecoin based on immediate supply and demand, this market embeds forward-looking sentiment about price movement over a specific timeframe. Traders betting on particular outcomes are essentially making a directional call; odds that shift sharply can signal changing conviction. Comparing these odds to traditional analyst price targets or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to consensus expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different price outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share pays out based on where Dogecoin settles at the specified time, and the bid-ask spread reflects the current consensus. Prices move as new information arrives or as traders adjust their positions, creating a dynamic equilibrium. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery, with all trades executed at posted prices or better.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once Dogecoin's price is verifiable from credible public sources. The settlement captures where DOGE is trading at that specific moment, locking in the result. Until resolution, traders can continue to adjust positions as new data or market conditions emerge. Once the event occurs and the price is established, payouts are distributed automatically to holders of the winning outcome.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency broadly, shifts in Bitcoin or broader crypto sentiment, and any Dogecoin-specific developments such as network upgrades or adoption news. Macroeconomic events like interest rate decisions or inflation data can also influence risk appetite and crypto valuations. Social media momentum and whale transactions sometimes drive short-term volatility. Technical levels and options expiry dates may create support or resistance. Traders monitoring these signals adjust positions ahead of the settlement date, causing odds to fluctuate as conviction changes.