TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Dogecoin's price on June 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT across multiple price thresholds. Participants predict whether DOGE will reach or exceed specific price levels, with outcomes ranging from $0.005 to $0.175. The final price is determined by averaging 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index data collected at the exact expiration time.
Resolution is based on the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 21, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold; the market resolves to Yes for any outcome where the 60-second average exceeds the threshold value (e.g., above 0.0049999 for the $0.005 outcome, above 0.0099999 for the $0.01 outcome, etc.). CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source rather than general market data from exchanges like Google or Coinbase. The official final value is calculated as the average of all 60 RTI prices collected during the final minute before expiration.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about future Dogecoin price levels, often diverging from current spot prices on cryptocurrency exchanges. While spot markets price Dogecoin based on immediate supply and demand, this market embeds forward-looking sentiment about where the asset will trade at a defined future moment. Traders who believe Dogecoin will outperform consensus expectations buy shares at higher price thresholds, while those expecting underperformance target lower brackets. These odds can serve as a barometer of collective conviction relative to what casual observers might expect from recent price action alone.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders directly set bid and ask prices for outcome shares. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each price level represents a specific Dogecoin price range, and traders profit or lose based on whether the actual price at settlement falls within their chosen bracket. The platform's matching engine executes trades when buy and sell orders overlap, creating a transparent price discovery process. Liquidity and trading volume at each price level influence how easily traders can enter or exit positions.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by verifying Dogecoin's actual price against credible public sources. Once the event time passes and sufficient confirmation is available, the platform settles all shares based on which price bracket the verified price falls into. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome bracket receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and final once the event is confirmed.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency markets, macroeconomic shifts in risk sentiment, and Dogecoin-specific developments such as network upgrades or adoption news. Broader Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements often influence altcoin sentiment, potentially driving Dogecoin volatility. Social media trends and celebrity endorsements have historically moved Dogecoin price expectations. Additionally, changes in overall crypto market liquidity, stablecoin dynamics, and traditional finance correlation can shift trader positioning in this market as the resolution date approaches.