TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Dogecoin's price at a specific moment on June 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Traders predict whether DOGE will reach or exceed various price thresholds, from $0.005 up to $0.175. The price is determined using CF Benchmarks' official Dogecoin Real-Time Index.
Resolution is based on the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) calculated immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 20, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with Yes outcomes triggered when the average price exceeds the threshold value (e.g., above 0.0049999 for the $0.005 outcome, above 0.0099999 for the $0.01 outcome, and so forth through $0.175). The official price source is CF Benchmarks' RTI rather than other cryptocurrency data providers, ensuring consistency and preventing disputes over price discrepancies between exchanges.
Prediction market odds and spot price expectations often diverge because they measure different things. Spot prices reflect current market transactions across exchanges, while odds in this market represent traders' probabilistic forecasts about a specific future price level at an exact time. The prediction market aggregates dispersed information and incentivizes accuracy through real money at stake, which can reveal insights that spot prices alone do not capture. Comparing the two helps traders identify whether the market is pricing in upcoming catalysts, volatility expectations, or sentiment shifts that spot markets may not yet fully reflect.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing different price outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share settles to either $1 or $0 depending on whether the actual Dogecoin price falls within the specified range at the designated time. The market price—expressed as a percentage between 0 and 100—reflects the probability implied by the current spread. As new trades occur, the odds update in real time, allowing participants to enter or exit positions based on their evolving views of Dogecoin's price trajectory.
This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by Dogecoin's verified price at that specific moment. The result is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting and market data sources. Traders who correctly predicted the price range will receive their payout, while those on the wrong side of the trade will see their positions expire worthless. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring all participants can independently verify the final outcome.
Several catalysts could shift odds in this market, including major regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin price movements (which often correlate with altcoins), and Dogecoin-specific developments such as network upgrades or adoption news. Social media sentiment and celebrity endorsements have historically influenced DOGE volatility. Broader crypto market sentiment, changes in exchange listings, or shifts in institutional interest can also drive repricing. Traders monitor these signals closely to adjust their positions ahead of the resolution date, making the market a dynamic reflection of evolving expectations around Dogecoin's price.