TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the Dogecoin (DOGE) price on June 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT. The price is determined by taking the average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) data collected just before the expiration time.
Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) prices collected before 5 PM EDT on June 16, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with thresholds ranging from $0.005 to $0.175 in $0.005 increments. The official price is determined by averaging all 60 RTI prices collected in the final minute before expiration. CF Benchmarks' DOGEUSD_RTI is the authoritative data source for this market; prices from other sources like Google or Coinbase may differ and should not be used for resolution purposes.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to stake on specific price outcomes, which often diverges from current spot prices on cryptocurrency exchanges. While spot markets show the price right now, this market prices in forward-looking expectations about volatility, adoption catalysts, and macroeconomic shifts over the coming months. Traders who believe Dogecoin will move significantly higher or lower than consensus can profit by taking contrarian positions. The odds embedded in this market tend to incorporate information faster than traditional analyst surveys, since real money incentivizes accuracy and rapid price discovery.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different price ranges for Dogecoin at the specified time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share costs between $0 and $1, and the current bid-ask spread reflects the tightest consensus around likely outcomes. As new information arrives—regulatory news, technical developments, or shifts in broader crypto sentiment—traders adjust their bids and offers, moving the price in real time. The market price at any moment represents the marginal trader's belief about the probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Jun 16, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once Dogecoin's price is verifiable from credible public sources. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the event occurs, ensuring all participants see the same final price data. Until that moment, positions remain open and can be traded, allowing participants to exit early or adjust their exposure based on new developments.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency adoption, shifts in Bitcoin's price direction, changes in Elon Musk's public statements about Dogecoin, and broader macroeconomic events like interest rate decisions. Technical developments on the Dogecoin network, exchange listings or delistings, and social media trends can also drive sharp repricing. Geopolitical events or sudden shifts in institutional interest in digital assets may influence the broader crypto market and pull Dogecoin with it. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust positions and capture alpha before the market reprices.