TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Dogecoin's price at a specific moment on July 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Traders predict whether DOGE will reach or exceed various price thresholds, from $0.005 up to $0.165. The resolution uses CF Benchmarks' official Dogecoin Real-Time Index averaged over 60 seconds.
Resolution is determined by the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) measured immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 6, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with Yes outcomes triggered when the average price exceeds the threshold value (e.g., above 0.0049999 for the $0.005 outcome, above 0.0099999 for the $0.01 outcome, and so forth through $0.165). The official price source is CF Benchmarks' RTI rather than other cryptocurrency data providers, ensuring consistency across all price-based determinations.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader beliefs about future price levels and often diverge from current spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment and uncertainty. While spot price represents what Dogecoin trades for right now, this market's odds represent what participants collectively expect it will trade for on July 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish momentum over the coming months. Analysts and investors often use prediction markets as a barometer of conviction that complements traditional price analysis and sentiment surveys.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different Dogecoin price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome range has its own bid-ask spread, and the midpoint reflects the market's current probability estimate for that price level. As new trades occur, prices adjust in real time to reflect updated expectations. Traders profit by correctly predicting which range Dogecoin will occupy at the resolution time, with payouts determined by the accuracy of their forecast relative to the final verified price.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency adoption, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, technological developments in blockchain infrastructure, and shifts in retail or institutional interest in Dogecoin specifically. Social media trends and celebrity endorsements have historically influenced Dogecoin sentiment. Broader crypto market movements, Bitcoin price action, and changes in stablecoin or altcoin dynamics can also drive significant repricing. Traders monitor news flow, on-chain metrics, and competing digital assets to anticipate how these factors might reshape price expectations before the July 2026 settlement date.