TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Dogecoin's price on July 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT across multiple price thresholds, ranging from $0.0000001 to $0.19. Traders can bet on whether DOGE will reach or exceed specific price levels at the specified time.
Resolution is determined by the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) calculated immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 24, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with resolution to Yes if the average exceeds the threshold value stated in that outcome. CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source, not alternative platforms like Google or Coinbase. The official final value is computed as the simple average of 60 individual RTI prices collected in the final minute before market expiration.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders believe will happen, whereas spot prices show what Dogecoin costs right now on exchanges. This market aggregates forward-looking expectations from many participants, often incorporating news, technical analysis, and sentiment that may not yet be priced into current spot rates. When prediction odds diverge significantly from recent spot prices, it can signal either optimism or caution about near-term movement. Comparing the two helps traders gauge whether the market is pricing in upside, downside, or stability relative to today's trading levels.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different price ranges for Dogecoin at the specified time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share's price reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Traders can enter limit or market orders, and the bid-ask spread narrows as volume increases and more participants compete. The market price updates in real time, allowing traders to enter or exit positions dynamically based on their conviction and risk tolerance.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, at which point the final Dogecoin price will be verified against credible public sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the price range will receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the event timestamp passes and pricing data is confirmed. All participants are notified of the outcome simultaneously, ensuring transparency and fairness across the board.
Major catalysts for Dogecoin price movement include regulatory announcements, shifts in broader cryptocurrency sentiment, Bitcoin volatility, social media trends, and macroeconomic data affecting risk appetite. Corporate or celebrity endorsements can also drive sudden swings in trader positioning. Technical levels and support-resistance zones may trigger algorithmic trading activity. Additionally, developments in blockchain adoption, exchange listings, or competing meme coins could influence expectations. Traders monitor these signals closely to adjust their bets as new information emerges.