TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Dogecoin's price exceeds specific thresholds by a set time in the future. The outcome depends on measuring the cryptocurrency's value against predefined levels at a precise moment, using a standardized data source for accuracy.
The event evaluates multiple price thresholds for Dogecoin on August 28, 2026, at 5 PM EDT. Each threshold represents a distinct market outcome, resolving to "Yes" if the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT exceeds the specified value at that exact time. Thresholds range incrementally from $0.005 to $0.2. All markets share the same measurement methodology, using CF Benchmarks' index as the definitive price source, with secondary notes emphasizing that external sources like Google or Coinbase may show variations. Resolution depends solely on the index value at the defined moment, with no additional conditions or adjustments applied across thresholds.
Currently, this market’s implied probability—derived from trader bets—offers a distinct view compared to conventional spot price forecasts from analysts or polling aggregators. While traditional analysts may focus on macroeconomic indicators or social media trends, this market incorporates real-time trader sentiment and speculative dynamics. The difference between the two can highlight areas of consensus or divergence, giving participants an edge in understanding crowd-sourced expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through continuous bidding and asking, which determines the market’s current implied probability. This mechanism reflects collective trader assessment of where Dogecoin’s price will land at the specified time. The resulting odds adjust instantly to new information, news, or shifts in broader cryptocurrency market trends, offering a dynamic snapshot of future expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. At that point, the final Dogecoin price—checked against independent, reliable sources—will determine which side of the market is correct. Traders’ positions are settled based on this verified result, closing the market and finalizing payouts for all participants.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Major announcements from Dogecoin’s core developers, unexpected moves by large holders, or broader cryptocurrency market volatility may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, macroeconomic developments, regulatory news, or viral social media trends involving the token can cause rapid swings in betting odds, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly.