TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks Dogecoin's price performance against specific thresholds on a set date and time. It examines whether the cryptocurrency's value, measured by a recognized benchmark, surpasses various price points, reflecting market sentiment and trading dynamics at that moment.
The event evaluates multiple price thresholds for Dogecoin on August 21, 2026, at 5 PM EDT. Each threshold represents a distinct market outcome, determined by whether the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) prior to 5 PM EDT exceeds a specific value. Thresholds range incrementally from $0.005 to $0.18, with each rule checking if the average price surpasses a slightly higher value than the previous. All markets share the same measurement methodology, using CF Benchmarks' index as the definitive source, emphasizing that external price checks (e.g., Google or Coinbase) are informational only and not binding. The resolution hinges solely on the index's value in the specified timeframe, ensuring consistency across all threshold-based outcomes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the majority view of where Dogecoin will close on Aug 21, 2026. The market price adjusts dynamically based on order flow, open interest, and any new information that could shift expectations for the cryptocurrency’s valuation.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual Dogecoin price at the specified time, removing any ambiguity for participants. No internal platform mechanisms or subjective judgments are involved — only publicly verifiable data.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 21, 2026, including major cryptocurrency exchange updates, regulatory announcements impacting cryptocurrencies, viral social media trends, adoption news from merchants or institutions, and broader macroeconomic factors affecting risk assets. Any unexpected volatility in the crypto space — especially involving Bitcoin — may also influence trader sentiment and volume in this market.