TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Disney+ App Downloads in August
kalshi

What will be the result of Disney+ app downloads in August?

Volume:
$1,346

Above 122

 - Kalshi

Above 122 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 122

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 132

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$511
N/A
N/A
$410
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 129

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
$305
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 136

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$295
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 126

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
$205
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the performance of Disney+ app downloads for August 2026, comparing them to the same month in the previous year. The focus is on whether download numbers exceed specific growth thresholds, reflecting the streaming service's user acquisition success during that period.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads index for August 2026, comparing it to the same month in the prior year. The index uses a base value of 100 to represent equal year-over-year performance, with higher values indicating growth and lower values indicating decline. Each market has a distinct threshold (122, 126, 129, 132, or 136), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the reported index value exceeds the respective threshold. The determining value is the first report published by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement will not alter the outcome. These markets operate independently, with each threshold representing a separate condition for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will reflect the officially reported Disney+ download figures for August, closing all positions on Kalshi at that time.

Several signals could influence this market before Sep 14, 2026, including major marketing announcements from Disney+, consumer promotion launches, competitor service updates, and shifts in streaming platform usage trends. Any unexpected surge or dip in consumer engagement, as reported by app analytics or media coverage, may also cause rapid price adjustments among traders.