TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Disney+ app downloads for August 2026, comparing them to the same month in the previous year. The focus is on whether download numbers exceed specific growth thresholds, reflecting the streaming service's user acquisition success during that period.
All markets in this event resolve based on the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads index for August 2026, comparing it to the same month in the prior year. The index uses a base value of 100 to represent equal year-over-year performance, with higher values indicating growth and lower values indicating decline. Each market has a distinct threshold (122, 126, 129, 132, or 136), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the reported index value exceeds the respective threshold. The determining value is the first report published by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement will not alter the outcome. These markets operate independently, with each threshold representing a separate condition for resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before Sep 14, 2026, including major marketing announcements from Disney+, consumer promotion launches, competitor service updates, and shifts in streaming platform usage trends. Any unexpected surge or dip in consumer engagement, as reported by app analytics or media coverage, may also cause rapid price adjustments among traders.