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400,720

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2,633

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Diesel prices tomorrow
kalshi

What will diesel prices be tomorrow?

Volume:
$61,392

Above $5.260

 - Kalshi

Above $5.260 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $5.260

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,001
N/A
N/A
$6,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.265

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,126
N/A
N/A
$5,026
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.275

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,278
N/A
N/A
$3,376
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.270

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,820
N/A
N/A
$2,968
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.290

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,342
N/A
N/A
$3,182
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.315

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,885
N/A
N/A
$2,606
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.255

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,626
N/A
N/A
$2,626
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.280

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,564
N/A
N/A
$2,201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.250

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,237
N/A
N/A
$1,638
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.285

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,226
N/A
N/A
$2,211
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.310

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,141
N/A
N/A
$1,711
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.320

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,985
N/A
N/A
$1,960
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.305

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,525
N/A
N/A
$1,433
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.295

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,245
N/A
N/A
$844
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.300

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$991
N/A
N/A
$912
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.340

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,000
N/A
N/A
$6,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.335

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,135
N/A
N/A
$5,134
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.345

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,250
N/A
N/A
$2,250
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.330

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,154
N/A
N/A
$2,144
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.350

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
$1,500
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.325

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,363
N/A
N/A
$1,328
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This event tracks diesel fuel price movements for a specific future date, reflecting how global supply chains and energy markets respond to geopolitical events, seasonal demand fluctuations, and production changes. Prices can shift based on factors like oil extraction levels, refinery operations, and economic policies affecting transportation costs.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the observed diesel price on August 11, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold between $5.250 and $5.350; if the actual price exceeds that threshold, the market settles as Yes. Thresholds increase incrementally across markets, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of diesel prices reaching progressively higher levels. No other conditions or adjustments affect resolution—only the numerical comparison between the actual price and each market’s specific threshold determines the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the diesel price movement market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around future diesel price changes, with real-time updates to chances and liquidity. The view reflects activity exclusively on Kalshi, including current volume of $61,392 and 24-hour volume of $61,392, letting users monitor market sentiment without aggregating data from other venues.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent the probability of diesel prices moving in specific directions by the market's expiration. The current implied chance reflects the collective assessment of market participants about where diesel prices will land. Factors such as recent price trends, supply-demand dynamics, and geopolitical developments influence this pricing. Volume of $61,392 provides insight into how actively the market is trading.

This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch official energy reports, refinery data releases, and geopolitical developments that could shift diesel pricing in the days leading up to settlement.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 18, 2026. Key drivers include changes in crude oil prices, shifts in global supply chains, inventory reports from major agencies, geopolitical tensions affecting oil-producing regions, and policy announcements related to energy subsidies or taxes. Unexpected weather events that disrupt transportation or storage could also influence trader sentiment. Any surprising data releases or headlines impacting fuel demand will likely cause rapid movements in this market as participants reassess probabilities.