TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Diesel prices tomorrow
kalshi

What will diesel prices be tomorrow?

Volume:
$57

Above $5.300

 - Kalshi

Above $5.300 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $5.300

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.305

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.310

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.315

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.295

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.320

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.325

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.330

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.335

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.340

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.345

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.350

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.355

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.360

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.365

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.370

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.375

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.380

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.385

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.390

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.395

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

These markets track diesel fuel price thresholds for a specific future date, reflecting expectations about energy market conditions and supply-demand dynamics. Each outcome represents a different price level that could be reached, helping participants gauge potential economic trends.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the observed diesel price on August 7, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price threshold, with the outcome set to 'Yes' if the actual price exceeds that threshold. The structure creates a ladder of progressively higher price points, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of diesel prices reaching various levels. The resolution depends entirely on the single day's closing price, with no adjustments for inflation or regional variations.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $57 for the diesel price movement market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around expected changes in diesel costs, offering a real-time view of market sentiment and trading activity specific to this event.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect a crowdsourced outlook shaped by real-time trading. While analysts may issue reports based on supply-demand models or geopolitical factors, traders adjust positions continuously based on new data, often leading to faster shifts in implied probabilities than traditional polling or expert opinion.

This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual diesel price movement as reported by authoritative sources at that time, closing all positions based on observed market conditions.

Key signals that could shift this market include inventory reports from major suppliers, changes in global demand due to seasonal factors or economic shifts, geopolitical developments affecting transport routes, and policy announcements related to energy subsidies or taxes. Any unexpected supply disruptions or demand spikes may cause rapid reevaluation of market probabilities.