TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Economics
Diesel prices tomorrow
kalshi

What will diesel prices be tomorrow?

Volume:
$31,252

Above $5.590

 - Kalshi

Above $5.590 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $5.590

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,380
N/A
N/A
$1,003
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.580

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,214
N/A
N/A
$2,214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.600

100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,051
N/A
N/A
$1,422
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.575

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,602
N/A
N/A
$1,602
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.560

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,118
N/A
N/A
$1,118
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.555

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,002
N/A
N/A
$1,002
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.565

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,002
N/A
N/A
$1,002
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.570

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,002
N/A
N/A
$1,002
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.595

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$797
N/A
N/A
$768
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.585

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$795
N/A
N/A
$585
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.625

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,912
N/A
N/A
$2,853
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.630

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,113
N/A
N/A
$2,113
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.620

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,792
N/A
N/A
$1,510
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.605

0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,258
N/A
N/A
$878
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.635

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.640

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.645

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.650

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.655

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.615

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$814
N/A
N/A
$789
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.610

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$401
N/A
N/A
$247
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This event tracks diesel fuel price movements on a specific future date, reflecting potential influences such as supply chain dynamics, geopolitical events, and market demand fluctuations. Participants assess whether prices will surpass various thresholds, providing insight into anticipated economic conditions.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for diesel prices on August 31, 2026. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific price level, resolving to 'Yes' if the actual diesel price exceeds the designated threshold. The structure allows participants to bet on the likelihood of prices reaching or surpassing various points within a narrow range, offering granular perspectives on potential price movements. All markets share the same resolution date and rely on the same underlying price data, ensuring consistency across outcomes while enabling diverse betting options based on predicted price levels.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $31,252 for the diesel price movement market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around expected changes in diesel costs, giving you a real-time view of market sentiment and trading activity without needing to visit the platform directly.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a dynamic, crowd-sourced view of expectations for diesel price shifts. While analysts may publish target ranges or trend assessments, this market reflects real-time betting activity and can react faster to breaking news, supply disruptions, or policy updates that influence trader sentiment.

On Kalshi, this market uses a continuous double auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible diesel price directions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current probability reflects aggregated trader sentiment and positions, with market depth and liquidity influencing price discovery. Traders assess global supply chains, geopolitical factors, and inventory reports to place bets, driving the market toward what they believe is the most likely outcome.

This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual diesel price movement as recorded by independent, authoritative sources at the specified time, closing all positions based on observed market data.

Several signals could shift this market before Sep 7, 2026. Key factors include supply disruptions, changes in global demand, inventory levels reported by major agencies, and geopolitical developments affecting oil production. Weather events that impact transportation routes or refinery operations may also influence trader sentiment. Any unexpected policy announcements from major oil-producing countries or shifts in consumer behavior could prompt rapid reevaluations of market probabilities.